For severe wx concerns... the question will be, do we get showers and clouds most of the day Thursday which reduces the severe threat. Or, do we get a period of clearing so some instability can develop? Plenty of shear and helicity with this system and quite frankly, it won't take much CAPE to get ...

Good Morning. Beautiful day yesterday here in SC but will be trending towards a wetter pattern which has been the norm the almost 2 years I have been down here. Bgoney love the post about Russia and the cold which shows how strong the PV is this time of year. Concerning severe weather and I believe...

Gfs heading towards the Euro with a more northerly track of the low which I believe makes sense.

Nam is starting to get in the range for the possible stormy period and does have some decent pockets of strong storms. No doubt will be some heavy rain and strong winds but will there be any tornado's is a big question.

Good Morning. Beautiful day yesterday here in SC but will be trending towards a wetter pattern which has been the norm the almost 2 years I have been down here. Bgoney love the post about Russia and the cold which shows how strong the PV is this time of year. Concerning severe weather and I believe ...

Hopefully we can say bye-bye to freezing Temps (CVG) after this weekend until the fall. I believe we have one more round of 32 or below. What has happen over the past few weeks is a very strong PV for March. This of course has kept the cold in the arctic regions and they have been below normal in t...

12Z Euro continues the slower idea versus the GFS. The front tries to push in by Wed of next week but fails thanks to the SE ridge. Only a slight risk for rain at this time. Then the next low comes up the front for a wet Thurs. I still prefer the slower Euro idea at this time. Hey Les and I am not ...

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0041_radar.gif Tim's Greenville, SC area under a Tornado Watch until 6 PM. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible Hey Eric and ju...

Good Morning and a foggy morning. This will keep temps down this morning but once it burns off temps will rise quickly. Tons of moisture so the next system should bring in a good dose of rainfall and .75-1.5 still looks good. Severe chances are slim locally and Bgoney made a great point that we get ...

Can't blame the SPC for doing that. If the CAP erodes as expected, the radar will be lighting up with super cells down here tomorrow afternoon and evening. Some folks will see the storms, the further east one goes, at night which is always more dangerous. Agree Les and how far north will those stor...

Latest SPC day 2 outlook hinting at upgrade to High risk (5 out of 5) at their 06z update tonight for LA, MS and AL for tomorrow. Further east across northeast LA into MS and AL a more concerning scenario appears possible. Most forecast guidance agrees that a round of afternoon thunderstorms are ex...

Good Afternoon and not a bad day outside as very little wind so the morning walk was not cold at all. Lets see how much precip the Euro comes out with for the next system. At one time I believe it had over 2 inches in the forecast. Though I believe the Euro may have the correct track and less of a c...

Good morning Tim! I think heavy rain is a good bet and the worst of the severe wx will absolutely remain to our south, However, an isolated severe storm is possible on Thursday because the low pressure will be moving thru the area so we'll get some good spin and shear. The question is going to be i...

Good Morning Les and a much better day. Even saw a few big snowflakes mixed in with the rain yesterday afternoon. Hopefully we get a good widespread 1-2 inches of rainfall this week. Severe weather still expected south of here and again a few rumbles of thunder is possible but a severe outbreak here...

Hey Tim , how's your back? Better I hope. A fairly typical March southern rockies Snowstorm (1'-3')in my book, but of course the MSM has to throw historic into every impactful weather system these days. There(Southern Rockies) best storms have always been either in the Fall or late winter/spring. H...

Laramie, WY could be ground zero for the big Rockies blizzard. As of this post, it doesn't look too bad yet but it'll be raging there tonight and tomorrow. 2 feet plus expected. https://youtu.be/vbA0uy8AsLE What a cool looking town. Looks like the old west. This is much needed snow for folks in the...

Good Morning Les. Forecast looks good and concerning severe weather I agree late this month into April and May. My biggest concern is really dry conditions that could take over later this spring and summer. Seeing a lot of areas to the south not getting their normal rains in March and if this contin...

Good morning all! We've got a shot at getting close to 70 today thru Thursday before rain moves in with a cold front by Friday. The front now looks to slip south of the area for a cloudy, but cool weekend. It may actually turn out to be dry. Temps near 50. Then the front comes back as a warm front ...

Good Morning and looking forward to the next 3 days. Was able to burn some leftover tree limbs and leaves yesterday with a nice slow burn that lasted about 8 hours. Glad to see some rain late this week. Next week can we get some snow and its still on the table but again snow this time of year is ne...

Hopefully any rain for next weekend won't renew flooding re the Ohio River and other water branches. Thankful for these current dry days between systems and a taste of Spring temp wise. :) River is supposed to fall below 35 feet on Wednesday. Pool is about 26 feet, so unless we get biblical rains, ...

Good Morning and looking forward to the next 3 days. Was able to burn some leftover tree limbs and leaves yesterday with a nice slow burn that lasted about 8 hours. Glad to see some rain late this week. Next week can we get some snow and its still on the table but again snow this time of year is nev...

Good Morning Les and I will listen to your video later. I believe you have the forecast covered and one fact you have been talking about is the mjo and how it may go into phases 8-2. If this happens as forecast then we will have some colder temps later in the month and yes must talk about snow. We k...

Changes coming from the NWS: NOUS41 KWBC 041500 PNSWSH Public Information Statement 21-12 National Weather Service Headquarters Silver Spring MD 1100 AM EST Thu Mar 4 2021 To: Subscribers: -NOAA Weather Wire Service -Emergency Managers Weather Information Network -NOAAPort Other NWS Partners, Users...

Beautiful though a little breezy but tons of sunshine. What is concerning me the most and I spoke about this over the past month or so is rainfall in the southern states. Feb-April is big in terms of rainfall for these areas before summer hits and I hope over the next 8 weeks they get plenty of rain...

If the old saying come in like a lamb and go out light a lion is true then we are going to get hit with some wicked weather at the end of the month. This is such a quiet period and especially for early March and such a long period.