12z HRRR seems to be off it's rocker :o This is as bad as it gets, let's hope this is way overdone otherwise we will have major problems..... hrrr-indiana-sig_tor-2088000.png 12z 3km NAM a tad less explosive, still yikes! Red letter day in the cards for tomorrow it seems. nam-nest-indiana-sig_tor-2...

Just one extra item that I want to make clear that I may have missed. Even if we stay cloudy much of Tuesday folks west of us have a greater chance of seeing more sun so storms can fire up to the west even if we are cloudier longer. Sure if the sun comes out early here then that 3-7pm time period lo...

CVG dropped to 56 with A dew of 51. Boundary must have slipped south a bit more. Winds are dead out of the east. The boundary is just wavering and probably will much of the day and then expect a bigger push northward late in the afternoon or early evening. The winds are a bit on the cool side as we...

The boundary is pretty much on top of us as we speak. Juicier dews and some weak CAPE exists just to our SW. I would look for storms to fire up this afternoon along the boundary. As usual, we shall see how things go. It's never a slam dunk in our area as we all know. The Today Show did a story from...

The boundary is pretty much on top of us as we speak. Juicier dews and some weak CAPE exists just to our SW. I would look for storms to fire up this afternoon along the boundary. As usual, we shall see how things go. It's never a slam dunk in our area as we all know. Good Morning Les and the major ...

Good Morning and everyone has covered the severe threat this morning and wonderful posts. The flood watch and imo this will be a more isolated flood watch but hard to pinpoint an exact area. This is not the flood watch you see in spring where the snow melt has led to above normal water in streams,cr...

Good Evening and this would be the calm before the storm. The front last night went further south and that is why locally we stayed in the low-mid 60's as folks just south of here got into the 70's Will be interesting overnight where the next round of storms form as moisture will become more likely ...

Les I saw the flood watch and was a little surprised. I believe they see Tuesday as a rough day and the further east you live the more likely to have possible flooding conditions. Again I don't believe its widespread but sure some of the normal streams and creeks and of course low lying areas could ...

Currently for Tues e.g. ...SUMMARY... A severe threat is expected on Tuesday from the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys eastward into the Mid-Atlantic, and southward into the central Gulf Coast states. Wind damage and isolated large hail will be possible across a broad area. The tornado threat is expected...

Les a nice start for the rainfall and getting a few periods of rain here and there is a good way to let some of it soak in. Temps today very tricky as the warm front is south of us near I-64. How quickly does it move north and if you stay north of the front probably low or maybe mid 60's but get sou...

Good Morning and Happy Easter!! A busy 5 days in front of us and had a few rounds of rain already this morning in my neighborhood. Trev as always provided some great information. Tons of moisture available and more typical of spring so higher amounts will be easier to achieve. Where the heaviest rai...

Just checked the GFS and CMC and they both have moved the heaviest rain for the entire period a little further south. I still like 1-2 inches but yes somebody will probably get in the 2-3 range before all is said and done. Precip all the way through early Thursday and yes maybe a touch of snow flyin...

Great write up and I lived on the Kenton County/Campell County border and neither county got a warning. That is what I remembered and though plenty of action with funnel clouds none touched down near me and yes there were more funnel clouds to the west of me than east and those maps play that out well

Wonderful post Trev!!! I agree about the hail threat 100p/c. The warm front on Sunday and this will set up an nice temp difference and Sunday morning a west to east line of showers and thundershowers that could last several hours. Hopefully by noon or so many folks locally will be south of the front...

The CMC pounds the area over the next five days with 2-4 inches while the gfs is more in line of 1-2 with higher amounts further north.

Ron,Bgoney those are great stories and of course I would not go inside though my area did not get touched by a tornado but I just kept looking around at all the funnel clouds. Never had a weather club but my sophomore year I had a Psychology class 1st hour and found out my teacher loved the weather ...

My son who lives just north of hwy 29 is on the border tonight of a winter weather advisory for frz/rain and snow. Not a big storm by any means but frz/rain is always a concern.

Les the trout sounds wonderful. Two of my friends went fishing in Alaska several years ago and sent back salmon and put that on the grill and the best fish I ever had. Making me hungry already and its not even 9am. We have Easter at my brother-n-laws Sunday afternoon and tons of food and of course t...

Bgoney I agree with their thought process. This system or lets say several pieces of energy over the next 5 days or so looks to be a pattern changer. Can we get some decent rains without the severe portion and not sure but when you see a front just sitting around waiting gathering moisture and just...

I know many folks on here I heard stories about April 3rd 1974 with the tornado outbreak and to this day its my number one weather event. I was 12 at the time and loved the weather like I do today. Of course some of the memories fade as you get older but this one stands out. Of course we were coming...

Bgoney I agree with their thought process. This system or lets say several pieces of energy over the next 5 days or so looks to be a pattern changer. Can we get some decent rains without the severe portion and not sure but when you see a front just sitting around waiting gathering moisture and just ...

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 28, 2024 4:25 pm 56 currently at CVG, 57 here. Time to crack open some beer and fire up the grill! Baked potato, sautéed onions, peppers, and garlic to go on top of a nice big ole thick, juicy ribeye steak! Dinner is served around 6:30 in case you're wondering.... TIM!

Very jealous Les lol.

Les the NAO is still negative early in the week before it heads towards neutral later that week so this imo would mean a slower trough to move through. See what the Euro shows later today but that model has been a little stronger in terms of severe weather.

I do like the longer period of rainfall because this may give us a break from about April 4th-9th so the eclipse turns out with sunshine. Again way too early but I like the spacing at the moment

12Z GFS looks like an inch maybe 1.25" for the area. Heaviest amounts north, lighter to the south. I also like some of the timing that we have outlined here. Confidence is good in seeing showers north on Sat (dry south), then rain / storms Eastern afternoon and evening. Then more widespread co...