Thank you for posting that Les. I can’t wait to hear DT’s thoughts on this winter as well.

Euro weeklies are a little warmer than gefs extended 30 day average temps for November DC374161-8748-4392-9456-A4BA1B9D68E0.png 12288B6B-C52D-4933-A605-97D220B42B46.png They both have the warm anomaly feature above northern Canada. There are major changes forecasted for the artic stratosphere in the...

I thought I would throw this In too. Gefs extended 35 day accumulation forecast This is following a Pos Pna neg Epo pattern quite well

Animation of the last 7 dats... snow and ice coverage. We need help on the Canadian side as we all know. Glad it's not even Nov yet. Plenty of time! :) imsalaska-7day.gif It should build up rather nicely in November. Euro weeklies and gefs extended have pretty much all of November below normal for ...

Actually I misspoke about the EPO and I apologize. I’ll post the euro ensemble and the gfs extended. The control is more positive than the ensemble mean so I was mixed up. I have to say it looks pretty good. 13BB149D-6A42-4AF7-A060-40D93BB7779A.png9BFEBFCD-620C-4A4C-9BCA-7F548B5B76C0.png Is there a...

Actually I misspoke about the EPO and I apologize. I’ll post the euro ensemble and the gfs extended. The control is more positive than the ensemble mean so I was mixed up. I have to say it looks pretty good.

Thanks for the response Jason. I agree 100p/c about shallow cold air because of the PV not getting strong. Of course we can still get cold but I agree a back and forth pattern for later Nov and Dec but this does lead to storminess. I do believe this brings some heavier snows not only to the lakes b...

Thanks for the response Jason. I agree 100p/c about shallow cold air because of the PV not getting strong. Of course we can still get cold but I agree a back and forth pattern for later Nov and Dec but this does lead to storminess. I do believe this brings some heavier snows not only to the lakes b...

If this is correct, with the cold air being more shallow, the chance of an ice storm would go up as well. It's going to be a wild winter most likely. Agree 100 percent. I was answering your post on the epo but got disconnected. I checked the teleconnection forecasts for the epo and it is going to g...

I don’t know if this website is accurate and correct me if I’m wrong but this is going to be the first time we’ve seen back to back moderate La Niñas. This can’t be overlooked IMO and this would put a major strain on finding analogs to compare https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm This is going to be ...

On a whim I checked the euro weeklies and the gefs and both have a 30 day average to November 20 of the favored Aleutian low set up. I still say very interesting Thoughts anyone? The only thing in the GEFS / Euro Weeklies images that I don't like is the location of the PV. I don't like seeing it on...

Sorry to hear about the old forum crashing but thanks for the welcome back! You hit it right in the head of the nail about the PDO. Right now it’s suppressing the La Niña signal and that’s why it looks El Niñoish. That’s a very impressive warm pool fueling the negative PDO. B7E8B03F-B56F-4871-9BFF-7...

On a whim I checked the euro weeklies and the gefs and both have a 30 day average to November 20 of the favored Aleutian low set up. I still say very interesting 3528DA27-39F2-45CB-84D4-566558394704.png 508CBBFD-2946-43A5-B81F-C006FC649AA0.png 74992360-7A90-4143-9F98-EBBB4660D203.png Thoughts anyone?

I don’t know if this website is accurate and correct me if I’m wrong but this is going to be the first time we’ve seen back to back moderate La Niñas. This can’t be overlooked IMO and this would put a major strain on finding analogs to compare https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm This is going to be v...