Current graphic for 4"+ I posted on my page. Not ready for a first call, though that may happen tomorrow or early Friday.

We get a little more snow on Saturday and then a nice hit on Sunday. 10” on the ground by Monday morning. Not fantasy range either. That’s promising!

I'm not concerned about an ice storm for this one... suppression is the concern at this point IMO. We'll have to wait and see if the models are overdoing or underdoing the strength of the arctic high coming in. It looks like we get a tiny little wave Sat night as the arctic front drops in. We'll se...

GFS and Euro have been fairly consistent recently on showing a snowstorm potential for us southern Ohio Valley folks on Monday, Jan 15. Definitely do not see warm air being a concern with this system. Question is, will this system turn out weaker than what is showing or will dry artic air keep mois...

Pretty substantial shift east on the 12z GFS for 00z Sat.

00z run last night had the low on the IL/IN border, 12z run today has it over SW OH...

GFS and Euro have been fairly consistent recently on showing a snowstorm potential for us southern Ohio Valley folks on Monday, Jan 15. Definitely do not see warm air being a concern with this system. Question is, will this system turn out weaker than what is showing or will dry artic air keep mois...

https://www.facebook.com/cincinnatiwx/

Video update on La Bomba and a brief look ahead. This was for my followers on my other site but you all already know about storm #2 and #3

06z Mon vs 06z today.

GFS has been slowly sliding east with the track, one of the reasons being it keeps the LP a bit weaker. Got to keep an eye on that.

A wind advisory with this system is a slam dunk, but maybe a high wind warning? Could be close in some areas if we get a sub 970MB low. Agreed. Still think we can do a couple inches on the backside as well. I am concerned about a rapid freeze up/flash freeze. It will depend on if the wind has time ...

KY special is favored per a majority of the guidance for storm #3 on MLK day.

tron777 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 08, 2024 11:34 am 977MB is pretty impressive on an Ensemble Mean. That is the avg from all of the GEFS members for La Bomba. Dang...

I can’t remember but didn’t I bring this up almost two weeks ago? Impressive modeling that far in advance!

Great posts Doug and Trev. I am in solid agreement and I have mentioned this aspect also over the last several days. I think we can all agree on this point. We just need to see how it plays out. Once the La Bomba systems lays its snowpack down, the colder air should get a tad further to the SE. Als...

00z GFS...964mb...incredible! Might have to rename this La Bomba II! They would be incredible to see. That would probably shut Indiana down for a day or two. Even Western Ohio would see impacts with winds that high with just a couple inches of snow. We need that thing to weaken just a tad for a cen...

I love these large scale storms as much as the next person, but I am optimistic about a clipper pattern coming up later in the month. With the amount of cold air in place, ratios will be high. Could we see another "super-clipper" that drops 6"+? I think the pattern will be ripe for i...

I love these large scale storms as much as the next person, but I am optimistic about a clipper pattern coming up later in the month. With the amount of cold air in place, ratios will be high. Could we see another "super-clipper" that drops 6"+? I think the pattern will be ripe for it.

It actually drops to 963mb. Folks that is the equivalent pressure to a low-end category three hurricane. Incredible!

00z GFS...964mb...incredible! Might have to rename this La Bomba II!

Two week snowfall via the 18z GFS. A little mode porn for all you snow weenies!

Update from my FB page... I have not seen any of your forecast on FB for over a week. Interesting. I can't even find the page. I had some issues with FB and their support was nonexistent so I just started over fresh. My personal profile is Forecaster Trevor Cole and my weather page is The Cincinnat...

I would argue that this is one of the most potential-laden, busiest patterns we have had in the region in quite a few winters.

Update from my FB page...

We've been talking about this for a while now and weenie snowfall maps are already circulating the interwebs, so let's get a thread rolling

Picture from Fairfield that someone posted on my page.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 8:14 am Unfortunately temps have been where I thought they’d be 32-36 throughout the morning, and looks like the inch or less forecast is going to work for the majority of the region

Good job man! You definitely scored on this one.