Re: 00z HRRR...those modeled amounts (blue) in central KY are kinda insane. More than likely convective feedback issues on the model.

00z HRRR

00z RAP

00z NAM rainfall forecast. As the data has shown for a while now, amounts will drop off north of the river. 1-3” should cover it for the tristate area. Localized banding (as we see with snow) could lead to higher amounts, but that should be south of the river.

Who’s ready to :waterski: tonight and tomorrow with all of this heavy rain?!? :rafting: Got mine! We flood every time it rains hard, so I am not looking forward to heavy rain at all. I am hopeful for some thunder though. It's been a while. Periods of heavy rain are likely tonight and tomorrow, espe...

Me thinky that the radar is gonna blossom tonight and tomorrow

Tons of moisture funneling up this way.

I’m also very much interested in the strong likelihood that there will be rumblers mixed in with the heavier periods of rain. Thunder/lightning is likely for many areas at some point. Edit: severe t’storms should stay south of the river. Further south (central and north central KY) may see a warning...

Who’s ready to :waterski: tonight and tomorrow with all of this heavy rain?!? :rafting: Got mine! :lol: As for rainfall amounts, I think a general 1-3” should cover most areas in the tristate. More south, less north. Both the globals and high-res models support a good 1.5-2.5” in Cincinnati. Thus I...

Who’s ready to tonight and tomorrow with all of this heavy rain?!?

Wow!! No wonder I was getting nothing yesterday trying to get on for the first time in a couple of days. lol Good to be back and thank you Trevor and Les and anyone else I've missed, getting us back together!!! Same here, Gina. I tried to log on and my first thought was “uh, oh. Trev must have let ...

Both the operational NAM and GFS have about 1.5” even up here. 3km NAM has a sharper north cutoff so will be interesting to see how it plays out. Seems like models keep coming north with the heavier rains with each successive run. Wonder if CVG can pull off 2"? Not gonna rule it out. I was won...

Well, hello there