Snowflakes are mixing in with the rain in Sidney.

Guidance is shifting the best snows into Indiana and CVG land. Cincinnati may do better than Dayton. Although we should all see a light accumulation.

It looks like Bo will win the first measurable. He guessed Nov 26th and we should manage at least a tenth of an inch on Thursday 21st.

Hey Doug! If it comes at night (18Z GFS has a Thurs night into Fri morning affair as an example) then the chances do go up certainly. Track and timing will be key to this as well as elevation, Biggest key will be precip rate in a set up like this. A lot of unknowns still IMO. Right now it looks as ...

66 in my hood today. It felt warm! Those 30s by Thursday are going to feel mighty rough! :lol: A few flakes will help ease the pain (I hope lol) Anyway, no changes to the ongoing 7 day. Rain tonight into tomorrow morning then a break. Mild temps continue on Tues. Period of showers with the frontal ...

KDAY 11/18 - 11/22:

Mon: 65/51

Tues: 64/56

Wed: 54/38

Thur: 33/30

Fri: 39/31

KDAY 11/11 - 11/15: Tues: -1 52/36 Nailed it! 8-) Wed: -1 56/33 +3 Thur: +3 54/48 Nailed! ;) Fri: 53/46 Congrats Doug on nailing the Tues and Thur lows! 8-) Thank you bro! You got one as well! ;) You're quite welcome bro! :) Also I did a recheck and am confused ? because it doesn't appear that I di...

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Sat Nov 16, 2024 5:09 pm

dce wrote: ↑Mon Nov 11, 2024 3:46 pm KDAY 11/11 - 11/15:

Tues: -1 52/36 Nailed it!

Wed: -1 56/33 +3

Thur: +3 54/48 Nailed!

Fri: 53/46

Congrats Doug on nailing the Tues and Thur lows!

Thank you bro! You got one as well!

For what it's worth Bam and most of their anologs are going all in on a very warm winter and wetter than normal winter. This is just what I've been waiting for. Everyone going for a warmer winter. Even JB. Now for a little reverse psychology!

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2024 1:06 pm Tim / Doug... Who can forget Feb of 2010? That was Clipper Mania!

Ahhh yeah. We never forget Feb 2010. Three clippers on steroids back to back to back.

The Canadian has a clipper diving down at the end of it's run on the 23rd. Many changes, of course, yet to come from this and other models, but nice to see this time of year nonetheless. Clippers used to be our bread and butter for a lot of winters many many years ago. That pattern has disappeared....

The Canadian has a clipper diving down at the end of it's run on the 23rd. Many changes, of course, yet to come from this and other models, but nice to see this time of year nonetheless.

Lots of uncertainty in the extended range due to blocking, a cut off upper low and the tropics. How will the period after 11/20 evolve? Todays 12Z GFS has the cut off low coming in providing several days of cool weather and showers. Then once the core of the upper low swings thru, first flakes of t...

KDAY 11/11 - 11/15:

Tues: -1 52/36 Nailed it!

Wed: -1 56/33 +3

Thur: +3 54/48 Nailed!

Fri: -2 53/46 +2

At least we know it's possible for the MJO to get into phase 8 with this record breaking -PDO and cooler waters in that area of the Pacific. We will see if this can happen in the winter months. Hey, just looking for any signs of hope here. :( ;) I would feel better if the MJO wave was stronger and ...

At least we know it's possible for the MJO to get into phase 8 with this record breaking -PDO and cooler waters in that area of the Pacific. We will see if this can happen in the winter months. Hey, just looking for any signs of hope here. :( ;) I would feel better if the MJO wave was stronger and ...

At least we know it's possible for the MJO to get into phase 8 with this record breaking -PDO and cooler waters in that area of the Pacific. We will see if this can happen in the winter months. Hey, just looking for any signs of hope here.

As off 11/4, the MJO is in Phase 8 per the Aussies. Do we get into Phase 1 or slide into the neutral circle? That needs to be watched over the next few days. I have been on the side of the modeling that shows the MJO weakening. We shall see! With the 500mb pattern continuing for the foreseeable fut...

KDAY 11/4 - 11/8:

Mon: +1 75/60 +3

Tues: +2 75/60 +4

Wed: +6 65/57 -3

Thur: -2 62/49 -7

Fri: Got one if it holds! 64/40 -3

dce wrote: ↑Tue Oct 29, 2024 3:50 pm

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Tue Oct 29, 2024 8:51 am I got another single day double for the 2nd week in a row!

You da man!!!

Awesome job Eric! You had a much better week than I did!

Total Snowfall: 29.0"

First measurable: December 1st

Hey Doug... I do think we'll see Phase 8, but I am not yet convinced that the current impulse will get into Phase 1. We shall see... some forecasters out there do believe that it will and the models will trend colder towards the end of next week as a result. It's a long ways out as you know but we ...

This map does look encouraging to me, anyway, concerning the MJO. If we can see this actually occur in phase 8 even with cooler waters in the phase 8 region and such a -PDO, maybe, just maybe, we can actually get into phases 8 and 1 during the winter months. As always, time will tell. Sorry about th...

MVWxObserver wrote: ↑Tue Oct 29, 2024 8:51 am I got another single day double for the 2nd week in a row!

You da man!!!

KDAY 10/28 - 11/1:

Mon: -2 70/38 -2

Tues: -2 80/54 +8

Wed: +1 77/57 +4

Thur: -2 73/49 +5

Fri: -2 58/40 -1