Today's 12Z GFS continues to look quiet until we get to next weekend 9/23-9/25 time frame. It is still showing more cut off low potential and a more active pattern developing as well. Hopefully the model is onto something instead of on something. :lol: 12Z GEFS shows below avg precip until the day ...

New JAMSTEC run is out for September and it looks pretty good. We have the Euro Seasonal, CANSIPS, JMA, and Jamstec all showing a decent wintrer upcoming. UKMET is much warmer then normal but so far it's an outlier. Everything should be taken with a grain of salt until we see the November runs of t...

New JAMSTEC run is out for September and it looks pretty good. We have the Euro Seasonal, CANSIPS, JMA, and Jamstec all showing a decent wintrer upcoming. UKMET is much warmer then normal but so far it's an outlier. Everything should be taken with a grain of salt until we see the November runs of t...

Wondering if these low clouds will eventually burn off or we may not reach the forecasted mid to upper 70's?

The Old Farmer's Almanac's winter forecast is out and get ready to LOL! Seriously LOL! https://www.almanac.com/winter-extended-forecast-farmers-almanac LOLComeOnMan.jpg That is perfect for 1976-77 and 77-78. I say its good You've got to love the click bait Tim! :lol: No doubt Les and it will sell o...

long range showing well above avg temps as we go into September. yuck ! mid to upper 80s all next week. sumhow I knew this was gonna happen since most this entire summer was below avg and now as we get closer to fall summer is gonna set in and its going to end up hot in Sept and Oct. i think it was...

long range showing well above avg temps as we go into September. yuck ! mid to upper 80s all next week. sumhow I knew this was gonna happen since most this entire summer was below avg and now as we get closer to fall summer is gonna set in and its going to end up hot in Sept and Oct. i think it was...

What a bad week for forecasters. No heat criteria was met yesterday thanks to the morning rainfall and then today, they upgraded us to the warning like in the winter time when a winter storm warning is issued and we already have 3 or 4" on the ground. :lol: Les, you're making drool, won't be l...

By far the hottest day this week with the current temp of 91 and dew point of 80 and feels like 109. Even higher dews than I expected today. Heading to Riverbend tonight and wow that will be a sweat fest. Tim, my friend and his wife are also going to Skynard/ZZ Top in the pavilion, sure hope they h...

Good Morning and finally the last day of the heat spell. So far the highest temp this week is 93 on Wednesday and highest heat index 99 on Thursday. So those temp forecast of mid to upper 90's failed and so far not even 100 on the heat index. Today should be the hottest with the heat index and shou...

12Z NAM and HRRR both show nothing tomorrow morning. Both models pop convection along the boundary just S of the CVG Metro in NKY. The storms drop into Central KY. This is for tomorrow afternoon and evening. HRRR also shows a batch of convection for the Tri-state after midnight at some point Fri ni...

No hail and not too much wind here. Just a nice rain event with some thunder and some very vivid lightning! Same here and getting that last round at the moment. Going to a very steamy day and where there be any leftover boundaries. Models were a little to far east with the round this morning and wi...

Drove in to work this morning in the storms with a brief period of pea size hail, blinding rain going sideways and lots of lightning. Had to go in to work as my AC at home isn't working that well with these excessive dew points. Saw lots of ponding of water and some flooded back yards on my way in.

An interesting term subduction; looked it up. :) Subduction zones are where Earth's tectonic plates dive back into the mantle, at rates of a few to several centimeters per year. These are key features of Earth's plate tectonic regime. An oceanic trench shows where the plate disappears, and a dippin...

Good morning all! 58 here this morning! So refreshing! Enjoy today and tomorrow folks. 90 for Sunday. Then low 90s to maybe even the mid 90s at times thru at least the end of next week. No rain expected until perhaps next Saturday. At least fans won't be sweltering via the GAB (minus Sun) as the Re...

tron777 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 17, 2023 2:03 pm

Haven't heard much more about this quake, but i have read where the west coast of North America is overdue for a major earthquake especially southern CA and the subduction zone off the coast of WA and OR.

12Z GFS cuts the heat off perhaps even by Tuesday now lol So much for a "heat wave." :lol: Hey Les, I'm kind of surprised that the models aren't showing some MCS activity to our SW as this back door cold front is coming in to squash the heat back to the SW. I'm just wondering if a boundar...

The GFS is back showing the heat dome in the extended with systems staying up close to the Canadian border and the deep south. I think that the tropics are messing with the model.

Is the NAM / Euro combo going to be right??? They have been showing those heavier totals for us where the HRRR has been on and off with the idea. The GFS should largely be ignored for the foreseeable future as it keeps showing phantom historical heat waves in the longer term which obviously isn't h...

tron777 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 09, 2023 12:13 pm Wow! That shower may have only lasted about 5 or 10 mins but it put down a quick 0.20"!!! CVG 0.05" and Zippo at the Boone Co mesonet site.

Wow is right, it's now pouring out here in Fairfield as it was just partly cloudy 20 min ago!

Managed to get two decent down pours out of that cell that moved through Cheviot/Westwood. I'm happy, but want more!

tron777 wrote: ↑Fri Aug 04, 2023 7:47 am Here's where we stand after July. Joe takes the lead!


CVG 90 Degree Contest Results for July.png

Wow, I haven't taken the lead in much these days! Lol

I have 5 for August and the way the extended looks, I may be short!

Looks like our camping trip at Brookville will be a sweatfest, especially on Thursday when we're setting everything up...Then we can just sit back and drink some coldies under the canopies as there are no big trees on our sites. Probably head down to the beach also. We'll be bringing lots of fans! ...

Hey Tim, that was just luck that CVG got that 1.82 yesterday.

Looks like our camping trip at Brookville will be a sweatfest, especially on Thursday when we're setting everything up...Then we can just sit back and drink some coldies under the canopies as there are no big trees on our sites. Probably head down to the beach also. We'll be bringing lots of fans! Lol