La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

All weather related things can be found here! From snow storms to severe weather including the best model analysis and long range forecasting around!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Trevor wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 1:17 pm
tron777 wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 11:34 am 977MB is pretty impressive on an Ensemble Mean. That is the avg from all of the GEFS members for La Bomba. Dang...
I can’t remember but didn’t I bring this up almost two weeks ago? Impressive modeling that far in advance!
I don't remember either Trev. You may have. With all of the different storms that we are tracking, my head is spinning! :lol:
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Wxlrnr
Heavy Rain
Posts: 146
Joined: Sat Feb 27, 2021 4:31 pm

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by Wxlrnr »

tron777 wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 1:20 pm
Trevor wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 1:17 pm
tron777 wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 11:34 am 977MB is pretty impressive on an Ensemble Mean. That is the avg from all of the GEFS members for La Bomba. Dang...
I can’t remember but didn’t I bring this up almost two weeks ago? Impressive modeling that far in advance!
I don't remember either Trev. You may have. With all of the different storms that we are tracking, my head is spinning! :lol:
I looked in the January thread and on the 31st you posted a model map showing a 971 low around Chicago and commented on it.
Hyde Park, Cincinnati.
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Wxlrnr wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 6:26 pm
tron777 wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 1:20 pm
Trevor wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 1:17 pm
tron777 wrote: Mon Jan 08, 2024 11:34 am 977MB is pretty impressive on an Ensemble Mean. That is the avg from all of the GEFS members for La Bomba. Dang...
I can’t remember but didn’t I bring this up almost two weeks ago? Impressive modeling that far in advance!
I don't remember either Trev. You may have. With all of the different storms that we are tracking, my head is spinning! :lol:
I looked in the January thread and on the 31st you posted a model map showing a 971 low around Chicago and commented on it.
Thanks Linn for looking that up!
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

37 here with heavy rain in progress. 0.70-0.80" already has fallen in my area.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Wind advisory is also out for the area from 7pm today until 12pm tomorrow.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
mikeyp
Heavy Rain
Posts: 146
Joined: Mon Mar 01, 2021 11:04 am
Location: White Oak

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by mikeyp »

I have already picked up 1.09" of rain from this system!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

0.98" as of 6am at CVG.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

We have a 992 MB Low over S MO this morning. Pressure falls indicate that the low will continue to deepen today as it heads NE towards S Lake Michigan and eventually into the Great Lakes.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 3588
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by Bgoney »

First time in a long time we’ve seen a good moisture fetch out of the GOM makes its way into the OV



CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-continental-conus-08-11_26Z-20240109_map_noBar-100-1n-10-100.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:45 am First time in a long time we’ve seen a good moisture fetch out of the GOM makes its way into the OV




CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-continental-conus-08-11_26Z-20240109_map_noBar-100-1n-10-100.gif
Very nice! Between the rain with this system and the next one... the drought concerns should ease which is great news!
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 3588
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by Bgoney »

tron777 wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:55 am
Bgoney wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:45 am First time in a long time we’ve seen a good moisture fetch out of the GOM makes its way into the OV




CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-continental-conus-08-11_26Z-20240109_map_noBar-100-1n-10-100.gif
Very nice! Between the rain with this system and the next one... the drought concerns should ease which is great news!
These two cutters are just what the dr. ordered for the corn belt drought. No frozen grounds so all will get soaked up
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

Bgoney wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 7:01 am
tron777 wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:55 am
Bgoney wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:45 am First time in a long time we’ve seen a good moisture fetch out of the GOM makes its way into the OV




CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-continental-conus-08-11_26Z-20240109_map_noBar-100-1n-10-100.gif
Very nice! Between the rain with this system and the next one... the drought concerns should ease which is great news!
These two cutters are just what the dr. ordered for the corn belt drought. No frozen grounds so all will get soaked up
Absolutely! :thumbsup: Also hoping we can cash in early next week ahead of the arctic hammer to help product lawns, shrubs, and bushes, etc from the cold. We'll see on that... that is a work in progress.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 3588
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by Bgoney »

IMG_1158.jpeg
IMG_1159.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

1.15" now as of 9am at CVG.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
MJSun
Thunder Storm
Posts: 201
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:42 pm
Location: Batavia Tshp (h)/Norwood (w)

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by MJSun »

Bgoney wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:45 am First time in a long time we’ve seen a good moisture fetch out of the GOM makes its way into the OV




CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-continental-conus-08-11_26Z-20240109_map_noBar-100-1n-10-100.gif
That is true- any idea why we always seem to get moisture but warm weather but no moisture when it's cold enough? So many of us at work are looking longingly at this rain wishing it was snow. LOL!

However I know many places needed the soaking rain so- I'm happy for that.
Mollie
Cincinnati: Batavia/Amelia (H), Norwood (W)


The extent of my weather knowledge is pointing at the sky and saying what color it is.

:bouncymulti:
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

MJSun wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:46 am
Bgoney wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 6:45 am First time in a long time we’ve seen a good moisture fetch out of the GOM makes its way into the OV




CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-continental-conus-08-11_26Z-20240109_map_noBar-100-1n-10-100.gif
That is true- any idea why we always seem to get moisture but warm weather but no moisture when it's cold enough? So many of us at work are looking longingly at this rain wishing it was snow. LOL!

However I know many places needed the soaking rain so- I'm happy for that.
My 2 cents MJ, is that due to our geographical location, warm air is forced west of the App. Mountains from the Gulf so we don't get the benefit of CAD (Cold air damming). We usually don't get the benefits of the Great Lakes for lake effect snow either. Where we are located, we have to have the right combination to come together for a major snow storm. This is why we don't get them too often. We either warm up too much and get rain or have to deal with multiple precip types. We have to rely on the correct storm track up the spine of the Apps which is so rare. Storms either go East or West of the mountains.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

1.23" now at CVG as of 10am. 988 MB low continues to deepen over Central ILL headed towards the S. tip of Lake Michigan then into Lower Michigan and Ontario later on. Latest radar shows quite a bit more rain yet to go before the dry slot moves in later this afternoon and evening. Once we get on the backside, we should see rain showers change to snow showers with strong winds continuing into early Wednesday as temps fall to near freezing by morning and remain there throughout the day tomorrow. I am not not sold on much snow on the backside of this system. I think my original call was an inch or less and that still looks to be the case.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Trevor
Site Admin
Posts: 1688
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 4:38 pm
Location: Blue Ash, OH

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by Trevor »

https://www.facebook.com/cincinnatiwx/

Video update on La Bomba and a brief look ahead. This was for my followers on my other site but you all already know about storm #2 and #3 ;)
Silverton, OH

More active on my FB page...come follow me! :-)
https://www.facebook.com/cwc513
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

1.43" at CVG as of 12pm.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 3588
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by Bgoney »

Current temps and radar




IMG_1161.jpeg
IMG_1162.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
Bgoney
Tropical Storm
Posts: 3588
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 7:09 pm
Location: East clermont, 3mls north of Williamsburg

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by Bgoney »

Highest gust of wind of the day with this heavier band of showers moving through MBY
Proud owner of Best Guess Forecast Center (BGFC)
Former owner of Gut Feeling Forecast (GFF) and Doppler Infinity
I know just enough about weather to be dangerous!
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

1.6" of rain now at CVG as of 4pm. Was a tough ride home with heavy rain and winds gusting in excess of 40 mph. Whew! Just glad I made it. Had to threw a bunch of timber out in the yard from the driveway before I could even back my car in. :lol: Pressure as of 4pm is down to 29.01" or 982 MB! :o We do not see pressures that low around here too often. It looks like we topped out around 50 as temps are now back down into the 40s. I've got 44 IMBY as of this post. The surface low is down to 980 MB now near Ft. Wayne, IN so the surface cold front will be passing thru our area here shortly. If you look at radar, you can see the upper low near Evansville, IN or thereabouts. A very significant storm for sure!
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
pickles
Rain Shower
Posts: 4
Joined: Fri Mar 05, 2021 10:08 pm

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by pickles »

My weather station recorded 28.84 in Mt. Carmel/Eastgate about an hour ago. Love following weather systems, and the knowledge you guys share so kindly, but this crazy low pressure is kinda rough on the old body :)
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

pickles wrote: Tue Jan 09, 2024 5:21 pm My weather station recorded 28.84 in Mt. Carmel/Eastgate about an hour ago. Love following weather systems, and the knowledge you guys share so kindly, but this crazy low pressure is kinda rough on the old body :)
Hey there Pickles! Glad to finally see you post. :) Please post more often! We appreciate your observations! That goes for everyone, esp. if you have a home weather station. ;) I was talking to my Dad earlier and the up's and downs are really hard on him too. For folks with aches and pains, the next week or two is going to be very tough!
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
User avatar
tron777
Major Hurricane
Posts: 19911
Joined: Fri Feb 26, 2021 5:10 pm
Location: Burlington, KY
Contact:

Re: La Bomba: Jan 8-11, 2024

Post by tron777 »

1.71" at CVG as of 7pm. Peak wind gust of 39 mph.
Lester Rhoads
Burlington, KY


AV Facebook Page

Image
Post Reply