Hello all....
With an El Nino to La Nina transition and above avg SST's in the MDR (Main Development Region) of the ATL basin.... it is expected that we will be having a well above avg hurricane season. However.... will the Saharan Dust Layer (SAL) have a thing or two up its sleeve to slow the activity down or at least delay the formation of systems for a while? Something worth watching that is for sure. I have seen a couple of seasonal tropical models (Euro and UKMET) and both seem to be going with above avg tropical activity. As far as the storm tracks go, the models are showing that the SE and East Coasts will be at risk from more West to East moving systems instead of recurving systems like we saw last year, As usual, we shall see! Thoughts?
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