Storms starting to fire in western Missouri with a severe storm watch posted

The latest change from the SPC has the slight risk area nudged a little closer to us but still just outside of our coverage area. All AV Posters are still in the marginal risk category. The main threat for us should a storm be able to maintain its intensity tonight will be strong winds. I still mai...

Watch the dewpoints too guys. We're in the 40s here while dews in the mid 60s are over Western KY. U60s to even low 70 dews in Western TN. Can we get into any of that juicer air or will our storms fall apart as a result of us NOT being in that juicier air? We shall have to wait and see! Great Post ...

I have noticed models are keeping rainfall totals light. I understand as the amount of time its actually raining will be short but I believe heavy so getting a quick 1/2 inch in an hour is very possible and in some areas that could be near an inch and why the localized flooding is possible for a few...

CVG managed to hit 80 yesterday and I expect the same for today. If so, then that would make for a 5th day in a row of 80 degree temps. Pretty remarkable for April IMO. Climate normals currently at CVG are 67 / 45. No doubt some wild swings this April but really that is more the normal than we have...

Just looking at some year to date stats and really rather simple we are about 10p/c above average in terms of temps and precip. So nothing out of the ordinary by any means and this should continue at least through the end of April

Good Morning Les as I believe we are on the same page. I had to put the threat of a strong or severe storm in the forecast because I believe the storms that do develop later today are going to be quite strong. How much they weaken before getting here locally is the big question and though I don't ex...

I agree Les and in a way lucky the snow melt was so light this season that the rivers are not quite as high compared to a year with lots of snow. Imo the severe is there on Thursday and with a nice sunny but warm day should bring up the instability. The timing will be key on how strong the storms a...

Just looking into the next couple of weeks and for the most part the country will be rather wet and overall slightly above normal in temps. Again love seeing the above normal rainfall in the spring and if you get it over a wider area that is even better. Will we hit a switch though sometime in June ...

I agree Les and in a way lucky the snow melt was so light this season that the rivers are not quite as high compared to a year with lots of snow. Imo the severe is there on Thursday and with a nice sunny but warm day should bring up the instability. The timing will be key on how strong the storms ar...

The forecast for today IMO has worked out very nicely! Windy as hell with most of the storms up to the north. I agree Les and we had ton of wind energy so we sort of escape what could have been a rather busy day. Later Thursday will need to watch a complex that forms to the west. Should be an outbr...

Wonderful video by Brian and he mentioned the dew points and already near 60 in western Indiana but upper 40's in eastern Illinois so the dry air is coming in rather strong which is good in this case. This case some of the drier air is further south so that is why folks north and east of here have a...

That last thundershower boosted my total to 0.89. That is what a thundershower can add to the total

Les I agree 100p/c. Many times during the summer you get those thundershowers mid-afternoon and they drop a nice inch or so in a short period of time but after it leaves the sun pops up and drys up some of the rain that fell. Also in the summer the ground usually has a period where the top layers ar...

Good Morning and a nice thundershower as I post. Will check on the rain totals later but with this added thundershower probably going to be nearing 1/2 inch. Les your forecast looks good and I agree most if any severe weather will be I-70 north and still look out for a lone wolf everywhere else. Lat...

tron777 wrote: ↑Tue Apr 16, 2024 7:05 pm Sorry folks... this topic should be unlocked now. I thought I had fixed it earlier, but nope. It is fixed now unless the Iranians or Russians mess with it again.

Thanks Les I thought the site was hacked and no more weather talk lol

Hey Les I thought a message in this are may help. Still locked in the April part of the blog. Everything besides that seems okay. Probably Iran messing with the blog and that is not allowed

Good Afternoon and unlike yesterday dew points have increased and this will keep the temps from rising like yesterday when the dew points fell in the afternoon. Concerning wet weather and sure we can get a shower or two this afternoon and early evening just because we have added moisture and small p...

Good Morning and Trev I agree about the severe weather and a weakening low pressure is key. We see this in the winter and one item I always look at is the storm gaining or losing strength. I do believe overnight we get some storms and as always looking at that 4-9a period and this should lead to som...

Good Evening and played golf today and kept telling myself its getting darn hot out here and I thought okay we may have got to 83 or 84 but I was low on that end. Les your post is dead on and no doubt why temps hit a record high.

Great Video from Brian once again. The only thing I worry about somewhat is later Wednesday especially if we get little in the way of storms overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning. If that happens then we could see plenty of sun and yes fuel for storms later in the day. Models should have a better...

Good Morning and a beautiful day in store and really much of Tuesday as well. Do we get another round or two of strong to severe storms and the answer is maybe. The first round should happen Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as a weakening line of storms from the central plains arrives. This time...

Nice graphic Les and plenty of that upstream so I would expect river waters to remain high for sometime

Good Morning and getting a nice break from the atmosphere which has been really ramped up across the eastern half of the USA the past few days. So much wind energy and moisture around so its time for the atmosphere to getting a little down time. Should have several nice days and though we can throw ...

Had a big t-storm move thru with gusty winds and pea sized hail that covered the ground for 15 mins. What a spring! This makes it about the 4th time I have seen hail this spring. I don't recall seeing so much so frequently. Les a nice hail event and about pea size but covered the ground. Has been a...