Les your forecast looks good and I wonder towards I-70 that we don't see a few stronger storms. Not sure about severe but we getting into mid-May and the sun can no doubt help ignite storms. I agree the best shot of severe weather that is more widespread is well south of us. Sinus problems today bu...

I checked the radar loop from overnight and there was a nice line of storms that trained N of Dayton along / N of I-70 for a couple of hours in the 12-2am window. Hopefully folks like Bo were able to cash in on that activity. That same boundary is still there running from N ILL and the Chicago area...

As of 5/7, The La Nina continues to develop as well as the -PDO.


https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/

Good Morning Les and nice to get a break from the rain. Hopefully like you mentioned the folks that needed some rain got it overnight. I had zero in the rain guage so that is a nice break. Today's action looks more isolated but it usually ends up hitting the golf course around 2-3pm during my golf ...

0.03" at CVG overnight. We shall see what else can pop up ahead of the cold front later. We're socked in with clouds right now but the visible shows a couple of breaks to the West so we'll see what happens there. I don't think that things will get out of hand or anything like that today but a f...

I checked the radar loop from overnight and there was a nice line of storms that trained N of Dayton along / N of I-70 for a couple of hours in the 12-2am window. Hopefully folks like Bo were able to cash in on that activity. That same boundary is still there running from N ILL and the Chicago area ...

NWS ILN has confirmed an 8th tornado now in Butler Co. There could be more in the days to come. The boys have been hard at work with more work still ahead. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 804 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 ...TORNADO CONFIRMED IN BUTLER COUNTY OHIO... The ...

Awesome Ang! :thumbsup: I don't know if we have any posters in the Reily Township area of Butler Co, but I believe a possible tornado went thru there and ILN will be doing a storm damage survey in that area today. Heading home from Cincy (Clifton) on Wed afternoon after a routine appt I had at UC H...

Good morning all! Some light rain out there this morning in some areas but the severe threat stayed well to the south as expected AND the flood watch got cancelled early too. All wonderful news (minus those locations who still need some rain of course - I totally understand that). Temps will be a go...

Ugh.... we lost 5-4 in 10 innings today and that means another series loss too. OFF tomorrow then the Astros come to Detroit. Fri night at 6:40pm with Casey Mize.

Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 515 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 ...TORNADO CONFIRMED IN CLINTON COUNTY OHIO... The National Weather Service office in Wilmington, OH is currently conducting a storm survey in Clinton County, Ohio. The survey is in relation to the severe ...

80 for the high at CVG today, 81 for my hood.

Thru 5/7, at CVG, 3.18" so far has fallen for the month of May. Normal to date is only 1.13" which is 2.05" above normal. Your local results will vary. Anyway.... based on the continued active pattern I am seeing in the extended range, could we end up with a Top Ten wet May? At CVG, a...

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed May 08, 2024 4:27 pm That would be one heck of a low track for mid May , that the EU has for late next week.

I said it the other day.... where was this pattern in winter?

Rain off to the West is looking like it is diving to the SE where the better instability is and also where the warm front is. Tim,... we are in agreement for tonight.

I can't post images right now, but go to the SPC Mesopage and under the surface drop down, look at the dew points as well as the 3 hour dew point change. That tells the story IMO as far as severe wx prospects go. I also checked the 17Z HRRR and it by and large has the bulk of the rain staying south ...

Another TOR watch was just issued for areas well south and SW of our local area.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0206.html

Wow! They did trim it back even more. Dang... Hopefully the SPC is correct. This would be wonderful news for most of us. Still though from a heavy rain standpoint, assuming the warm front stays down in Central KY, how far north will the rain shield be? We'll need to watch the radar of course to have...

Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1154 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024 ...TORNADO CONFIRMED WEST OF NEW KNOXVILLE IN MERCER AND AUGLAIZE COUNTY OHIO... The National Weather Service office in Wilmington OH is currently conducting a storm survey in Mercer and Auglaize County O...

74 / 67 as of 12pm at CVG. The boys have updated their latest thinking as of 11:46am: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT/... Updated the pops for this afternoon through tonight with a model blend that approximated current thinking. This generally slowed the onset of precip but was an overall minor c...

You just never know with these warm fronts, they have a mind of their own much like cutoff lows. Models are throwing darts blindfolded in regards to low/warm-front positions for later. Another interesting weather day to watch unfold To your point... the tornadoes that occurred over Southern Lower M...

12Z GFS still is more north with the low and we do get quite a bit of heavy rain tonight. Not all guidance agrees as we've mentioned. Can't blame ILN for hoisting the flood watch as any rain won't be good. Of course Bo could use the rain so let's all combine our resources and push this crap further ...

12Z NAM clips our SW counties with some of the heavier convection but otherwise the rest of it is south of us. Some nice trends so far today folks if the data is correct . Good, this means that I can take a long nap afterwork and not worry about tornado sirens going off and no alerts coming from my...

12Z NAM clips our SW counties with some of the heavier convection but otherwise the rest of it is south of us. Some nice trends so far today folks if the data is correct.

Some good news.... SPC has pushed the greatest severe risk even further south for this evening. For AV Land, the enhanced risk is now well south of our forecast area and the southern half of our area is under the slight risk with a marginal risk for the northern half. This means that the warm front ...