Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 515 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 ...TORNADO CONFIRMED IN CLINTON COUNTY OHIO... The National Weather Service office in Wilmington, OH is currently conducting a storm survey in Clinton County, Ohio. The survey is in relation to the severe ...

80 for the high at CVG today, 81 for my hood.

Thru 5/7, at CVG, 3.18" so far has fallen for the month of May. Normal to date is only 1.13" which is 2.05" above normal. Your local results will vary. Anyway.... based on the continued active pattern I am seeing in the extended range, could we end up with a Top Ten wet May? At CVG, a...

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed May 08, 2024 4:27 pm That would be one heck of a low track for mid May , that the EU has for late next week.

I said it the other day.... where was this pattern in winter?

Rain off to the West is looking like it is diving to the SE where the better instability is and also where the warm front is. Tim,... we are in agreement for tonight.

I can't post images right now, but go to the SPC Mesopage and under the surface drop down, look at the dew points as well as the 3 hour dew point change. That tells the story IMO as far as severe wx prospects go. I also checked the 17Z HRRR and it by and large has the bulk of the rain staying south ...

Another TOR watch was just issued for areas well south and SW of our local area.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0206.html

Wow! They did trim it back even more. Dang... Hopefully the SPC is correct. This would be wonderful news for most of us. Still though from a heavy rain standpoint, assuming the warm front stays down in Central KY, how far north will the rain shield be? We'll need to watch the radar of course to have...

Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1154 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024 ...TORNADO CONFIRMED WEST OF NEW KNOXVILLE IN MERCER AND AUGLAIZE COUNTY OHIO... The National Weather Service office in Wilmington OH is currently conducting a storm survey in Mercer and Auglaize County O...

74 / 67 as of 12pm at CVG. The boys have updated their latest thinking as of 11:46am: .NEAR TERM /UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT/... Updated the pops for this afternoon through tonight with a model blend that approximated current thinking. This generally slowed the onset of precip but was an overall minor c...

You just never know with these warm fronts, they have a mind of their own much like cutoff lows. Models are throwing darts blindfolded in regards to low/warm-front positions for later. Another interesting weather day to watch unfold To your point... the tornadoes that occurred over Southern Lower M...

12Z GFS still is more north with the low and we do get quite a bit of heavy rain tonight. Not all guidance agrees as we've mentioned. Can't blame ILN for hoisting the flood watch as any rain won't be good. Of course Bo could use the rain so let's all combine our resources and push this crap further ...

12Z NAM clips our SW counties with some of the heavier convection but otherwise the rest of it is south of us. Some nice trends so far today folks if the data is correct . Good, this means that I can take a long nap afterwork and not worry about tornado sirens going off and no alerts coming from my...

12Z NAM clips our SW counties with some of the heavier convection but otherwise the rest of it is south of us. Some nice trends so far today folks if the data is correct.

Some good news.... SPC has pushed the greatest severe risk even further south for this evening. For AV Land, the enhanced risk is now well south of our forecast area and the southern half of our area is under the slight risk with a marginal risk for the northern half. This means that the warm front ...

Awesome Ang!

I don't know if we have any posters in the Reily Township area of Butler Co, but I believe a possible tornado went thru there and ILN will be doing a storm damage survey in that area today.

BookNerdCarp wrote: ↑Wed May 08, 2024 7:39 am 1.38 with yesterday and last night storms

Excellent Matt! Glad to see that you finally cashed in as well.

In case anyone missed it: ...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues. * WHERE...The following counties in southeast Indiana, Dearborn, Ohio and Ripley. The following counties in northern Kentucky, Boone, Campbell and Kenton...

Good luck with your appointment, Tim! Hope all goes well. :) We should have a relatively quiet day with good heating taking place. I expect low to mid 80s for highs. Then depending on where the warm front is as the low approaches (wherever it ends up tracking), we should see storms fire up by late t...

Public Information Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1220 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024 ...STORM SURVEYS PLANNED FOR WEDNESDAY... Due to recent severe weather across our area, the National Weather Service will be conducting storm damage surveys later today, Wednesday, May 8th. The surveys ma...

Checking in with exactly 3” in the last 24hrs. By far the highest 24hr period of qpf for mby in many years. Awesome! Glad your area was able to cash in for a change. :) It's been a long time coming for sure. To add a little side note, last year from May onwards to November , I didn’t have one 24 hr...

The GFS and Euro are a good compromise as they both track the low right over us for this evening.

Bgoney wrote: ↑Wed May 08, 2024 5:52 am Checking in with exactly 3” in the last 24hrs. By far the highest 24hr period of qpf for mby in many years.

Awesome! Glad your area was able to cash in for a change. It's been a long time coming for sure.

There is very little agreement from models for the track and speed of the low for this evening, which will determine exactly how far north heavy rains return to our area. No doubt another now cast kind of day I see what you mean. The NAM has the low tracking across SKY and the Cincy Metro just gets...

Good morning all and WOW! What a noisy night! The action took a little longer to get here then what the data showed but man... those storms woke me up about 1am this morning and the rain just ended here a short time ago. Flood warnings are in effect for many areas due to the training storms as Bgone...